POLITICAL observations & opinions

* healthcare passage may herald a new game for the 2010 midterm elections

Posted by Lew Weinstein on March 23, 2010

healthcare bill passes with 0 votes from the party of NO

pollster STANLEY B. GREENBERG writes in the NYT (3/23/10) …

  • PASSAGE of the new comprehensive health care reform bill by Congress may herald a new game for the 2010 midterm elections.
    • Four of the seven latest major public polls showed an increase in the numbers favoring the health care reform as it was being debated over the last few weeks. Only one showed it losing ground.
  • Voters have been watching the two parties and starting to recalibrate in favor of the Democrats, who — if one averages polling by the Associated Press; CNN; and NBC/Wall Street Journal — now hold a 9-point average advantage on the question of which party would do a better job with health care.
  • The Republican vote among independents in the Congressional ballot dropped by 12 points.
    • Why? Independent voters may have been stirred by Senator Jim Bunning’s one-man filibuster that stopped work sites and unemployment checks.
    • They may have noticed the Republicans’ last stand for the insurance companies, just as one of the largest insurers, WellPoint, raised its rates 39 percent.
  • Still, I believe that the Democrats’ winning on health care reform will affect voters’ perceptions on a wide range of issues.
    • Competence and progress count.
  • Democrats today could easily be at the beginning of a hopeful six-month period, starting with the signing of the health care legislation that will further raise the public profile of the president and the Democratic Congress.

read the entire article at … http://www.nytimes.com/2010/03/23/opinion/23greenberg.html?ref=opinion

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