POLITICAL observations & opinions

* MSNBC First Read: Obama Crosses 270

Posted by Lew Weinstein on October 27, 2008

  • After moving the battlegrounds of Colorado and Virginia from Toss-up to Lean Obama, the Democratic presidential nominee now has crossed the 270 Electoral Vote threshold in NBC’s electoral map.
  • One week before the election, Obama leads McCain 286-163, up from his 264-163 advantage a week ago. As we pointed out on Friday, the significance of moving Colorado and Virginia into Obama’s column is this:
    • If Obama wins those two states, plus Nevada, he can still get to 270 — even if he loses Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. 
  • with eight days remaining, McCain is running out of time to change the dynamics of the race.

Likely Obama: CA, CT, DE, DC, HI, IL, ME, MD, MA, NY, OR, RI, VT, WA (175 electoral votes)

Lean Obama: CO, IA, MI, MN, NH, NJ, NM, PA, VA, WI (111 votes)

Lean McCain: AZ, GA, MT, NE 02, ND, SD, WV (30 votes)

Likely McCain: AL, AK, AR, ID, KS, KY, LA, MS, NE (the rest of the state), OK, SC, TN, TX, UT, WY (133 votes)

Toss-up: FL, IN, MO, NV, NC, OH (89 votes)

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