POLITICAL observations & opinions

* Harwood (NYT): McCain faces an uphill battle

Posted by Lew Weinstein on October 13, 2008

John Harwood writes in today’s NYT …

History Suggests McCain Faces an Uphill Battle

 

  • No one, including Mr. Obama’s advisers, says such a turnaround in Mr. McCain’s favor is impossible. 
  • But the magnitude of Mr. McCain’s task may leave him depending on a misstep by Mr. Obama or a national security crisis rather than on what he can achieve through speeches, advertising or a winning performance in the final debate on Wednesday.
  • In the latest Gallup tracking poll, Mr. Obama leads Mr. McCain 50 percent to 43 percent among registered voters. Mr. McCain’s deficit in that survey has remained seven percentage points or more for most of the last two weeks.
  • Since Gallup began presidential polling in 1936, only one candidate has overcome a deficit that large, and this late, to win the White House: Ronald Reagan, who trailed President Jimmy Carter 47 percent to 39 percent in a survey completed on Oct. 26, 1980.

Read the entire article at … http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/13/us/politics/13caucus.html?_r=1&ref=todayspaper&oref=slogin

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