POLITICAL observations & opinions

* the Palin “boom” will be a whimper come Election Day

Posted by Lew Weinstein on September 11, 2008

Bob Beckel writes on “Real Clear Politics” today …

  • The Sarah Palin “boom” that has so traumatized Democrats and intimidated the press will have little if any impact on the presidential election. People don’t vote for vice presidents, they vote for presidents. This race is about John McCain and Barack Obama not Annie Oakley from Wasilla, Alaska.
  • The freshness goes away quickly. So it will be shortly for Ms. Palin. She has had the best week in this campaign she will have and the only direction now is down.
  • Despite the best efforts of the McCain campaign to control press access to Palin, they can hold back the press tide only so long. It is simply too big and prolific. McCain’s campaign manager Rick Davis said on Fox News Sunday they will continue to limit press access until the media shows some “deference” to Palin.
  • Deference is for dictators and monarchs not for junior governors of sparsely populated states like Alaska who expect to be second in line to the leader of the world’s oldest Democracy.
  • What has received less attention is the number of newly registered voters in 2008. According to USA Today in the 28 states that register voters by party affiliation the Democrats have added 2 million new voters in 2008 while Republicans have lost 344,000.
  • Then there are black voters. According to the Census Bureau there are 24 million eligible black voters in America of which 16 million (64%) are registered. In 2004 blacks cast 14 million votes or only 56% of the eligible black population. Blacks are registering to vote at historic rates in 2008 and turnout will soar above 2004 levels.
  • In the end all the Palin “boom” you hear today will be a whimper come Election Day.


Read the entire article at … http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/09/palin_doesnt_matter_numbers_do.html


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